CAIIB · HRM · Chapter 24

Leading in a VUCA / BANI Scenario - New Approaches in Crisis Management

Chapter notes, video classes, MCQ practice tests and quick-revision one-liners for Human Resources Management (Elective) — CAIIB.

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Q

Structure — Incident / Crisis?

A

Incident: Has structure — produced by identifiable, assessable risks; Crisis: Ill-structured, unpredictable

Q

Response — Incident / Crisis?

A

Incident: Pre-prepared response in BCP works; Crisis: Genuinely creative response required; pre-prepared plans may be counter-productive

Q

Scale — Incident / Crisis?

A

Incident: Contained; Crisis: Escalates beyond contingency-plan limits

Q

Example (banking) — Incident / Crisis?

A

Incident: ATM cash-out, branch power failure; Crisis: Pan-India UPI outage, cyber heist, run on bank

Q

Natural Crisis — Origin / Banking example?

A

Origin: Acts of nature; Banking example: 2018 Kerala floods stalling branch operations

Q

Industrial Crisis — Origin / Banking example?

A

Origin: Organised industrial activity causing damage; Banking example: Yes Bank moratorium March 2020

Q

Level 1 — A Clear-Enough Future — Nature / Tools / Strategy / Banking example?

A

Nature: A single forecast precise enough for strategy; Tools / Strategy: Standard kit — market research, Porter's Five Forces, value-chain analysis, DCF (Discounted Cash Flow); Banking example: Branch profitability forecast in a mature urban market

Q

Level 2 — Alternate Futures — Nature / Tools / Strategy / Banking example?

A

Nature: A few discrete outcomes; probabilities can be assigned; Tools / Strategy: Scenario planning + decision-tree / decision-analysis with a separate valuation model per scenario; Banking example: RBI's interest-rate-cycle pivot — repo cut OR hold

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